Arizona State
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
559  John Reniewicki JR 32:57
1,523  Erik Gonzalez FR 34:21
1,634  Jackson Lewis FR 34:31
1,722  JP Nelson JR 34:39
1,798  Nick Dale JR 34:47
1,942  Alex Stevens SO 35:00
1,957  Michael Renner FR 35:02
National Rank #194 of 315
West Region Rank #26 of 33
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 26th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 0.3%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating John Reniewicki Erik Gonzalez Jackson Lewis JP Nelson Nick Dale Alex Stevens Michael Renner
Roy Griak Invitational 09/23 1146 32:40 33:37 35:01 34:45
Pre-Nationals (Red) 10/14 1191 32:37 34:57 34:42 34:30 35:20 35:35
Pac-12 Championship 10/27 1215 33:21 33:53 34:59 34:39 36:25 34:44 34:53
West Region Championships 11/10 33:50





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 26.9 777 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.4 2.9 6.4 14.5 18.3 18.1 14.7 11.3 6.5 4.3



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
John Reniewicki 84.1
Erik Gonzalez 160.7
Jackson Lewis 169.9
JP Nelson 176.6
Nick Dale 183.5
Alex Stevens 195.4
Michael Renner 196.4




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 0.1% 0.1 19
20 0.3% 0.3 20
21 0.5% 0.5 21
22 1.4% 1.4 22
23 2.9% 2.9 23
24 6.4% 6.4 24
25 14.5% 14.5 25
26 18.3% 18.3 26
27 18.1% 18.1 27
28 14.7% 14.7 28
29 11.3% 11.3 29
30 6.5% 6.5 30
31 4.3% 4.3 31
32 1.1% 1.1 32
33 0.1% 0.1 33
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0